Where will Alabama quarterback Tua Tagovailoa play subsequent season?
Alabama quarterback Tua Tagovailoa will announce whether or not he is staying for a senior season at Alabama or declaring for the 2020 NFL Draft. It’s a choice that may form each the NFL Draft-decision making in April and subsequent 12 months’s faculty soccer season.
Tagovailoa underwent hip surgical procedure on Nov. 18 after a season-ending harm in opposition to Mississippi State on Nov. 16. That restoration is a significant component in a choice that is not as clear because it appears.
There are clear pros and cons for each side of the Tagovailoa’s determination. Here are the circumstances for staying in class versus leaving for the NFL.
MORE: What’s subsequent for Nick Saban, Tua Tagovailoa and Alabama?
Tua Tagovailoa ought to enter the 2020 NFL Draft
Tagovailoa can get that cash now. Sporting News’ newest mock draft has Tagovailoa heading to the Miami Dolphins with the No. 5 general decide. Even if he falls within the first spherical, maybe Tagovailoa lands with a Super Bowl contender (please do not let it’s New England, proper?).
There is nothing left for Tagovailoa to show at Alabama. He handed for 87 TDs and 11 interceptions, performed in two nationwide championship video games and was a Heisman Trophy runner-up. He labored properly with offensive coordinator Steve Sarkisian, who served in the identical place with Atlanta Falcons. Tagovailoa flashed sufficient of a play-making ability set that at the very least one NFL group can be prepared to roll the cube on the harm danger related to drafting Tagovailoa with a prime decide.
How many mock drafts have been tossed out the window? Better but, what number of NFL groups take a quarterback with out watching him throw in particular person? Tagovailoa won’t find a way to throw till the spring as a result of of his rehab from surgical procedure, and it’s solely potential he falls out of the primary spherical.
From there, who is aware of? He can have to shed the “injury prone” label within the league given his ankle points the final two seasons, and that makes him a boom-or-bust candidate on some stage. Tagovailoa was thought of as a slam-dunk No. 1 general candidate at the moment final 12 months, and now that participant is clearly LSU quarterback Joe Burrow.
I’m a agency believer Tua returns to Bama in 2020
Let’s say he goes #10 this 12 months
That contract is value $19M
If he comes again & performs, he is least Top 5 decide
That’s $30 Million
He could make $10M+ coming again all whereas getting higher & w/ insurance coverage to defend him
Smart transfer https://t.co/7UTv491Gte
— Peter Burns (@PeterBurnsESPN) January 1, 2020
MORE: Everything to find out about Tua Tagovailoa’s harm, restoration timeline
Tua Tagovailoa ought to keep at Alabama
Tagovailoa would have an opportunity to showcase that he’s a wholesome quarterback as soon as and for all. If Tagovailoa comes again, lights it up and has one other season on par with the final two, then he can be a no-doubt lock to be a top-five decide and reduce the danger for a draft-day slide. That might be the higher long-term play.
Plus, Tagovailoa may cement his legacy as an all-time faculty soccer nice if he comes again, wins the Heisman Trophy and leads one other championship run. The royalties from that situation would possibly surpass his NFL legacy.
It’s the simplest query to ask: What if Tagovailoa will get damage once more?
The insurance coverage coverage is a security web, however the NFL gives cash and the group that drafts him can be affected person in phrases of a timetable for his restoration. Clemson’s Trevor Lawrence seems to be the almost-unanimous No. 1 decide for 2021, and Tagovailoa runs the danger of slipping down the draft board if he is not the identical participant as a result of of the hip harm. That may imply much more potential monetary loss earlier than his professional profession even begins.
This is one the place utilizing a ballot to take the temperature of the room works. It feels 60-40 and even 65-35 that the NFL will likely be too exhausting to cross up for Tagovailoa.
Will Tua Tagovailoa declare for the 2020 NFL Draft on Jan. 6?
— Bill Bender (@BillBender92) January 2, 2020
The simple selection is the NFL. Tagovailoa can take the cash that is implied together with his first- or second-round decide grade and run, and on the finish of the day he can have to show he is adequate to play at that stage.
Still, this does really feel somewhat bit like USC’s Matt Leinart, who stayed with the Trojans for his senior 12 months in 2005, and Florida’s Tim Tebow, who stayed with Florida for yet another run in 2009. Those quarterbacks had Heisman Trophy awards and a number of nationwide championships in hand once they determined to keep.
Tagovailoa’s determination additionally would affect the remaining of Alabama’s potential first-round picks. Dylan Moses, a SN preseason All-American who missed the season with a knee harm, already is again for subsequent season. Perhaps Tagovailoa might be the middle of that one final experience with the Tide.
It nonetheless appears like 60-40 he goes, however the truth that it’s that shut is why we’re all ready for Jan. 6.