Ranking one-loss Playoff contenders by best path to postseason

Week 9 is right here, and the one-loss-or-fewer crowd is dwindling among the many school soccer ranks.

A whole of eight Power 5 faculties stay unbeaten: Alabama, LSU, Clemson, Ohio State, Minnesota, Penn State, Oklahoma and Baylor. But what about that one-loss crowd?

MORE: SN Week 9 school soccer rankings

Before you get there, you possibly can trim off all of the Group of 5 faculties figuring out that the College Football Playoff committee hasn’t proven a willingness to place such a workforce within the remaining 4. Also do not forget that no two-loss workforce has made the Playoff.

That leaves these seven one-loss Power 5 faculties; we’ll throw in Notre Dame as an impartial as a result of the Irish have been to the Playoff. Which one has the best probability to crash the Playoff? We ranked these groups primarily based on the best and worst paths again into the CFP combine.

Here’s a more in-depth look:

1. Georgia (6-1)

Loss: 20-17 vs. South Carolina (Oct. 12)
Schedule: BYE, vs. Florida, vs. Missouri, at Auburn, vs. Texas A&M, at Georgia Tech

The loss to the Gamecocks is dangerous, and the hangover recreation in opposition to Kentucky on Saturday was brutal, too. The Bulldogs nonetheless have sufficient prove-it video games left on the schedule that they’ll work again into the highest 5 by eliminating Florida and Auburn en route to the SEC championship recreation. That could be a Playoff play-in recreation, almost certainly in opposition to Alabama or LSU. Georgia nonetheless controls its future, giving it the least sophisticated situation among the many one-loss groups.

2. Oregon (6-1)

Loss: 27-21 vs. Auburn (Aug. 31)
Schedule: vs. Washington State, at USC, BYE, vs. Arizona, at Arizona State, vs. Oregon State

The head-to-head loss to Auburn hurts, however the Ducks have a significantly better probability of working the desk than the Tigers at this level. Oregon controls its future within the Pac-12 North after an enormous victory in opposition to Washington, and the Ducks can be favored within the the rest of their video games. It would not damage if Utah ran the desk within the Pac-12 South to arrange a Pac-12 championship recreation between 11-1 groups.

3. Notre Dame (5-1)

Loss: 23-17 at Georgia (Sept. 21)
Schedule: at Michigan, vs. Virginia Tech, at Duke, vs. Navy, vs. Boston College at Stanford

Given these rankings, Irish followers ought to both root for Georgia to win the SEC or lose a second recreation and get out of Notre Dame’s method. The second situation may be simpler. The Irish can be favored the remainder of method, but it surely would not damage to blow out Michigan within the Irish’s most visitible recreation left. That lack of a convention championship recreation may damage, too.

4. Florida (7-1)

Loss: 42-28 at LSU (Oct. 12)
Schedule: BYE, vs. Georgia, vs. Vanderbilt, at Missouri, BYE, vs. Florida State

The Gators have two open dates within the final six weeks, and they’ll use the primary to put together for a de facto elimination recreation in opposition to the Bulldogs. If Florida wins there, then it is a good wager it takes an 11-1 document into the SEC championship recreation. There, LSU could be the popular opponent figuring out the Gators may avenge their solely lack of the season. It additionally means they keep away from the Crimson Tide, who routed the Gators of their final two SEC championship appearances.

MORE: Week 9 Playoff image

5. Auburn (6-1)

Loss: 24-13 at Florida (Oct. 5)
Schedule: at LSU, vs. Ole Miss, BYE, vs. Georgia, vs. Samford, vs. Alabama

Can the Tigers go down to Death Valley and beat LSU? That’s the large query, as a result of if the reply is sure Auburn may have the benefit of enjoying the remainder of its video games at Jordan-Hare Stadium. That contains the showdowns in opposition to Georgia and Alabama, whom the Tigers swept in 2017. At minimal, Auburn will knock one among LSU, Georgia and Alabama off. We do not suppose they’ll beat all three.

6. Wisconsin (6-1)

Loss: 24-23 at Illinois (Oct. 19)

Schedule: at Ohio State, BYE, vs. Iowa, at Nebraska, vs. Purdue, at Minnesota

The Badgers acquired caught wanting forward to Ohio State, they usually’re going to find yourself paying for it. The journey to Ohio Stadium goes from top-10 showdown to elimination recreation for the Badgers. They might need to beat Ohio State twice in the event that they handle to win the Big Ten West. That would definitely warrant Playoff consideration, however there are simply too many “ifs” for that situation to work out — not to point out, Wisconsin has the worst lack of any workforce on this checklist.

7. Utah (6-1)

Loss: 30-23 at USC (Sept. 20)
Schedule: vs. Cal, at Washington, BYE, vs. UCLA, at Arizona, vs. Colorado

The Utes have a good schedule except for the journey to Washington, in order that they want the convention championship recreation to be in opposition to Oregon, on condition that weak nonconference schedule. The Utes will want some chaos within the different Power 5 conferences, however they’re nonetheless alive.

8. Wake Forest (6-1)

Loss: 62-59 vs. Louisville (Oct. 12)
Schedule: BYE, vs. N.C. State, at Virginia Tech, at Clemson, vs. Duke, at Syracuse

The Demon Deacons bounced again from a shootout loss to Louisville to down Florida State 22-20 in Winston-Salem on Saturday. Wake Forest faces N.C. State after a bye, then has back-to-back highway video games at Virginia Tech and Clemson. We don’t love these odds.


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