Predicting Week 5 fantasy football sleepers based on latest NFL betting line movement

With sports activities betting rising in recognition, line motion traits proceed to offer predictability for fantasy soccer. Watching strains shift all through the week typically factors to gamers in key spots for fantasy soccer. With that mentioned, listed below are just a few line motion traits that might result in fantasy sleepers in NFL Week 5.

MORE: Get the most recent NFL odds & betting recommendation at Sportsbook Evaluate

Arizona Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Bengals

Sunday, Oct. 6, 2019 at Paul Brown Stadium (Cincinnati, Ohio)

Line: Bengals -3

Opening with the Bengals favored by 4-points, 72-percent of wagers sided with the Arizona Cardinals to open the week. This brought about the road to drop one level, indicating the potential for a decent recreation. Extra importantly, the full additionally fell one level, suggesting the potential for a back-and-forth, run-heavy strategy.

With no scarcity of fantasy choices, all Arizona Cardinals’ ability gamers appear like fantasy begins in Week 5. David Johnson notably stands out with a matchup in opposition to a Bengals’ protection permitting the fifth-most yards to opposing working backs (483). The Bengals additionally enable essentially the most receiving yards to enemy backs (290) and Johnson has 20 mixed targets in his final two video games. Except for Johnson, Kyler Murray and Larry Fitzgerald stay in play in an up-tempo offense in opposition to a Bengals’ crew permitting manufacturing to the slot.

On the opposite aspect, the Bengals stay 3-point dwelling favorites, organising for Joe Mixon and the working recreation. Mixon has at the least 17 touches apiece in his final two video games and continues to deal with all of Cincinnati’s crimson zone work. Arizona stays bottom-ten in dashing yards allowed to enemy backs, creating an advantageous matchup for Mixon. Within the go recreation, Arizona permits manufacturing in every single place, however they hemorrhage manufacturing to tight ends.

Permitting 431 complete yards and 6 scores, matchup alone places Tyler Eifert in play, with Tyler Boyd and even Auden Tate discovering enticing matchups as nicely. The present NFL odds level to this recreation as a powerful goal for fantasy soccer.

Towards the unfold | Straight-up picks

Indianapolis Colts vs. Kansas Metropolis Chiefs

Sunday, Oct. 6, 2019 at Arrowhead Stadium (Kansas Metropolis, Missouri)

Line: Chiefs -11

With the Chiefs taking 60-percent of wagers to open the week, the road jumped from -8.5 method as much as -11 in favor of Kansas Metropolis. Extra importantly, 62% of bets most popular the Over, elevating the purpose complete to 56. The very best mark on the Week 5 slate, Indianapolis-Kansas Metropolis seems ripe with fantasy goodness in Week 5.

Indianapolis continues to take care of a lot of accidents to their offense, however bookmakers recommend a pass-friendly recreation script. TY Hilton returned to follow this week and stays Jacoby Brissett’s high goal. Final week, the Chiefs let Kenny Golladay free for 67 yards and a pair of scores, which bodes nicely for Hilton’s outlook. Kansas Metropolis additionally stays bottom-five in tight finish protection, organising Jack Doyle and Eric Ebron for potential success.

For the Chiefs, recreation script suggests a run-heavy recreation atmosphere. Boosting the Chiefs’ run recreation, Damien Williams initiatives to return from his multi-week knee scare. Nevertheless, Kansas Metropolis retains a 58-percent go fee whereas main. This retains Sammy Watkins, Travis Kelce, and Demarcus Robinson in play. Kelce particularly stands to profit from a matchup in opposition to a Colts’ crew permitting the third-most fantasy factors to opposing tight ends.

With the road shifting towards the Chiefs and the over, each crew’s passing assaults present advantageous matchups.

Atlanta Falcons vs. Houston Texans

Sunday, Oct. 6, 2019 at NRG Stadium (Houston, Texas)

Line: Texans -4.5

One among Week 5’s extra fascinating video games, wagers stay cut up down the center on this Falcons-Texans contest. At this second, 53-percent of wagers favor the Texans, however line hasn’t budged since open. Th NFL odds recommend a decent, excessive scoring affair, with some extent complete set at 49.

Atlanta has struggled a crew to open the season, however Matt Ryan continues to ring up productive passing performances. Averaging 331 passing yards per recreation, Ryan appears able to exploiting this questionable Houston secondary. Houston has allowed at the least 230 passing yards in each recreation this season, with 300+ yard performances to Drew Brees and Philip Rivers. Julio Jones stays on tempo for 1,268 yards and 16 scores, whereas Austin Hooper quietly is available in because the NFL’s fourth-most focused tight finish.

On the opposite aspect, Atlanta’s protection simply allowed 277 yards passing to Marcus Mariota, following the lack of all-pro security Keanu Neal. Struggling in protection, the Falcons now should discover a option to cease DeAndre Hopkins and Will Fuller. Bringing added skill together with his legs, Deshaun Watson and firm venture to maneuver the ball at will in opposition to the Falcons.

Left with a excessive recreation complete and a decent unfold, NFL odds recommend a fantasy-friendly affair between the Falcons and Texans this Sunday. 

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