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Andrew Scheer campaigns in vote-rich Ontario — without Doug Ford

The place’s Doug Ford? That was one of many extra persistent questions hurled at Conservative Chief Andrew Scheer throughout his mini-tour by way of Ontario and the Higher Toronto Space within the early days of the federal election marketing campaign.

Ontario’s Progressive Conservative premier actually wasn’t with Scheer on Wednesday evening at Tory candidate Ted Opitz’s marketing campaign workplace, which is simply blocks away from Ford’s Etobicoke residence. 

“I would have thought that Mr. Ford should be here as well because this is his area,” mentioned Ruth Abraham, who labored on Ford’s marketing campaign and attended Wednesday’s occasion. “I’m not sure why he’s not coming, if he just wants to stay clear of the federal [race].”

Ford has certainly been absent from all of Scheer’s appearances within the province, together with the Conservative chief’s marketing campaign kickoff in Vaughan-Woodbridge final week, and a earlier cease in Etobicoke, the place Ford holds his provincial seat.

It has raised questions as as to whether Scheer is intentionally avoiding Ford, who has seen his reputation drop since his personal election in June 2018.

“I think that would be an error,” mentioned Conservative supporter Walter Simone, an insurance coverage dealer who attended the Scheer rally in Woodbridge, Ont., final week. “Because a lot of Ford supporters are Conservatives and you don’t want to tick them off saying, ‘Hey, I’m not agreeing with what the provincial premier is doing.'”

Kevin Yeung, who was additionally in Woodbridge to point out assist for Scheer, mentioned he too believes it will be a mistake for the federal Conservative chief to maintain his distance.

“I think he should reach out,” Yeung mentioned. “I think if Scheer really wants to win a majority in Ontario, I think he should really stand by Ford.”

However not each Conservative supporter agrees, with some saying they may perceive why Scheer might have some trepidation about being seen with Ford.

Conservative Chief Andrew Scheer launched his election marketing campaign in Woodbridge, Ont., certainly one of a number of stops he made within the province final week. (Michael Wilson/CBC)

‘It’s a unfavorable’

“We all know Ford hasn’t communicated as well as he should have,” mentioned David Dawson, from Hamilton. “And it’s a unfavorable​​​.

“I won’t suspect you will notice Doug Ford standing on a stage — and whether it is, it is solely as soon as.”

Maintaining away from Ford could be in distinction to Scheer’s predecessor, Stephen Harper, who in the dying days of the 2015 election race attended a rally sponsored by each Rob and Doug Ford. He had seemingly hoped — some argued in desperation — to faucet into the voter base of so-called Ford Nation, harnessing a few of its fervent Toronto assist. 

Conservative supporter Walter Simone believes it will be a mistake for Scheer to keep away from Ford through the federal election marketing campaign. (Michael Wilson/CBC)

On this election, Individuals’s Social gathering of Canada Chief Maxime Bernier has additionally hoped to use the Ford title, launching his marketing campaign from the Etobicoke North headquarters of his star candidate, Renata Ford, widow of the late Rob Ford.  

However as Vassy Kapelos, host of CBC’s Energy & Politics, lately famous, some federal Conservatives have been telling individuals privately that if the occasion does lose the election, will probably be as a consequence of Doug Ford.

In the meantime, when requested, Scheer has disregarded recommendations that he is intentionally avoiding the Ontario premier. 

“That is simply utterly false,” he said in Mississauga, Ont., last week. “We will be all around the province of Ontario and the individuals who have labored to exchange Liberals on the provincial stage are clearly going to work to exchange Liberals on the federal stage.”

‘I’m busy governing’

Ford himself addressed the problem on Tuesday at a rural expo in northern Ontario. When questioned about whether or not Scheer’s marketing campaign had contacted him, Ford replied, “Cannot say they’ve.”

“I’m busy governing,” he then said. “It is a full-time job. I at all times joke round, they’re working me like a rented mule this entire summer time. Truthfully, I simply have not had time. I do not wish to intervene within the federal election. I need them to go on the market and have an excellent race and let the perfect occasion win.”

Thus far, not one of the conservative premiers within the provinces the place Scheer has appeared have campaigned with the Conservative chief. 

However what might make Ford’s absence extra important is that a part of the Liberal marketing campaign, of their quest to win vote-rich Ontario, has been to hyperlink Ford with Scheer, arguing the Conservative chief will govern very similar to the Ontario premier.

Controversial actions by Ford, together with cuts to companies within the province, have been adopted by plunging ballot numbers. Even earlier than the federal election name, it has prompted Liberals to attempt to tie the 2 collectively, casting them as political soulmates.

Final month, for instance, Liberal Chief Justin Trudeau spoke how the center class cannot “afford one other Doug Ford” throughout a rally of Liberal candidates.

And, not less than within the brief time period, that hyperlink could also be working, recommended one Conservative supporter. 

Neil McAlister, who’s on the board of the Durham Conservative Affiliation, mentioned that by way of knocking on doorways, he is studying that the Liberals appear to be doing an excellent job of complicated voters about provincial and federal duties. (Michael Wilson/CBC)

Neil McAlister, who’s on the board of the Durham Conservative Affiliation, mentioned that by way of knocking on doorways, he is studying that the Liberals appear to be doing an excellent job of complicated voters about provincial and federal authorities duties.

“I have had individuals who must know higher, when I knock on the door, who say, ‘We’re college lecturers so we cannot vote Conservative.’ Nicely, schooling is a provincial duty and the federal authorities has nothing to do with that,” he mentioned.

“I speak to individuals who don’t perceive that the Conservative Social gathering of Canada is a special political occasion from the Progressive Conservative Social gathering of Ontario.”

Kathy Brock, a political scientist at Queen’s College in Kingston, Ont., mentioned it is nonetheless tough to say if the Liberal technique of linking Ford to Scheer will in the end reach scaring votes away from the Conservatives.

“Within the 905 space, there’s a big swath of people that assist Doug Ford nonetheless,” Brock said. “In a number of the different ridings, the place individuals are just a little disaffected or really feel he hasn’t represented them, it may cost a little Scheer.”

Little to do with reputation of Ford

Brock mentioned she understands why Scheer could be distancing himself from Ford — and it might not essentially must do with the premier’s reputation points.

“I assume he’s attempting to determine his personal id and make it clear that he’s not Doug Ford, he’s not Stephen Harper,” she mentioned. So it isn’t essentially distancing himself from the others, nevertheless it’s establishing his personal concepts and imaginative and prescient within the public thoughts. That is what a pacesetter’s acquired to do if he desires to be prime minister of Canada.”

Whereas former Ontario premier Kathleen Wynne actively campaigned for Justin Trudeau again in 2015, one political knowledgeable says that is uncommon. (Fred Chartrand/Canadian Press)

And whereas former Ontario premier Kathleen Wynne actively campaigned for Trudeau in 2015, that is uncommon, mentioned Brock.

Premiers and prime ministers typically must be allies, but additionally antagonists,” she said. “For premiers to get as concerned as say Kathleen Wynne was within the final election, that is anomalous. That is uncommon.”

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